Hi there all
In vew of the current situation, there is a lot of information about this new disease pandemic and lots of threads and information all over the place including multiple threads in the chat room.
To help us read and discuss the science, epidemiology, and health aspects I am starting a thread here so that hopefully much of it can be in one place and members can find the information more easily.
Can we moderate this ourselves and keep the chat to the chat room?!
I'll kick off with a couple of links - some about the sceince and some about the epidemiology and the predicted peak.
Science Daily is a good source of information for those interested.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/Here is a paper about the spread and when symptoms are apparent:
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/03/200316143313.htm"Coronavirus spreads quickly and sometimes before people have symptoms, study finds:
Summary:
Infectious disease researchers studying the novel coronavirus were able to identify how quickly the virus can spread, a factor that may help public health officials in their efforts at containment. They found that time between cases in a chain of transmission is less than a week and that more than 10 percent of patients are infected by somebody who has the virus but does not yet have symptoms. "
Here is another on incubation period:
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/03/200310164744.htm"New study on COVID-19 estimates 5.1 days for incubation period
Median time from exposure to symptoms affirms earlier estimates and supports CDC's current 14-day quarantine period
Summary: An analysis of publicly available data on infections from the new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, that causes the respiratory illness COVID-19 yielded an estimate of 5.1 days for the median disease incubation period, according to a new study. "
Article discussing the paper from Imperial College which modelled the epidemiology and on which the most recent stricter measures were recommended on Monday evening (haven't read this yet!).
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid19-imperial-researchers-model-likely-impact/Hurdity x