Hi Hurdity
No new info I know of, and as usual there are contradictory studies.
Yes, it seems sensible that a lower dose makes it tolerable, but it is not always that straightforward. Plus it would not make sense to me to conclude that only doses that for some have intolerable effects give adequate protection yo them, given we are talking about body identical hormones.
Oral progesterones are known to require higher doses to be effective as they are rapidly metabolized and it is the higher doses and the products of the metabolism that cause the side effects in some people.
There are studies that compare the effect of Crinone with other progesterones. For example,
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10689005/ Crinone is compared with 100mg Promterium (utrogestan) orally. The conclusion was Crinone results in greater bioavailability with less variability than oral progesterone, providing more reliable delivery of progesterone, compared with oral progesterone. The blood concentration was 5x higher for Crinone and it lasted longer. I have also read something that said tissue (rather than blood) levels were 10x higher using crinone than oral progesterone.
Therefore, compared to an oral progesterone, the effect of vaginal can be far higher than you might expect. 45mg daily equivalent should easily compare to 100mg or 200mg daily utrogestan.
I also compared it to a mirena coil as at least they have a similar site of action. As you say Mirena is synthetic but is similar in that it will also interact with the same receptors as natural progesterone that it is designed to mimic. I can't find any studies comparing Mirena with crinone or utrogestan.
FDA data sheets show however that steady state plasma levels for crinone as 5-15ng/ mL. That of mirena as 150-200 pg/mL(0.15 -2 ng/mL), albeit for progesterone vs progestogen.
As they always say, more studies required...