The Guardian is guessing just like everyone else. Unless someone has tested positive you just don't know. I'm sure there are some who died from CV but it isn't on their death certificate and vice versa
I think Teresa's right, there'll be a spike 2-3 after the Bank Holiday.
There will of course be some inaccuracies either way but far far more likely that more people died from or hastened by CV19 than has been recorded. You only have to look at the excess deaths so far (ie excess compared with five year average) which is far higher than reported CV positive deaths, and probably even than the total including reported deaths where CV19 was also mentioned but where a positive test had not been obtained.
Who is the LSE?
Also I know that many GPs have signed C-19 on Death Certs. without a test or symptoms. There was a huge article in the Daily Telegraph 1 day last week about the fact that many DCs are going to be incorrect. Which is actually a Crime.
The weekly stats from the ONS paint a clearer picture, and also we have been through this before about death certs. Yes CV19 can be put on the death cert without confirmation but probably less so now that more testing is available which it wasn't before. You said a few weeks back about crimes etc. It's a very complex process not taken lightly I don't imagine. The guidance to doctors is very involved and is available on the web. I posted about this before. I wouldn't trust anything I read in the Telegraph anyway
. Yes there will have been some mistakes I'm sure but I can't imagine they are mostly incorrect and especially not deliberately so
. From what I've read it is reasonable to put CV19 on the death cert if doc believed that it hastened the person's unfortunate death but that other causes would also be put down. The ONS analysis looks at various scenarios from what I recall. Again very involved.
Hurdity x
