You would have thought supposedly intelligent people like doctors would already have wills
They're making sure they're up to date. No need for sarcasm.
I remain absolutely baffled by people's responses. It's as if on the one hand we have scientific evidence, and on the other ... well, I really don't know.
Those countries that faced down SARS, so we didn't have to, did it right. They knew. China acted a bit late, but then they got ahead of the curve. Taiwan, South Korea. Fantastic job. There was a reason Japan left that ship sitting in port for so long. It always was about containment and avoiding a pandemic. OK, so that option is gone now. Thank you, Italy.
What next? Flatten the curve, infection control. Do you know how many intensive care beds we'd need, nationally, if we went the same way as Lombardy? Let's say 60% of the population are infected (about 40 million people) and 20% need hospital care (about 8 million people), but 5% need ICU care (about 2 million people). Two million ICU beds. This is insane. Even more worryingly, as the Lancet reported yesterday, the Italians have found that it's 9-11% that need ICU, so let's say 10%, and that's 4 million ICU beds. On top of this, it doesn't seem to be the case that people have it, get better, and they're fine. For some folks, it's creating life-long health complications.
Anyway, obviously, no one wants to hear this. No one has wanted to hear this from the start. If it's as bad as the current projections say it's going to be (with the public continuing to behave as if it's magically disappear and it shouldn't really interfere with their lives), we won't have an economy, supply lines or an NHS left in a year. It's fine. We can rebuild. Hell, 72 million people died in the Second World War and 20 years later there was the 'Swinging Sixties'. But I'd still rather avoid that. And, of course, the scientists and doctors could be wrong. It might go away in the Spring / Summer. This is true. All these precautions could be an overreaction, or they could be a contribution, we might never know. I'd still prefer to try though and be proved wrong, instead of not bother and be proved right.